Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.52%) and 1-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
0.01) 
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