Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
-0.83) 
0.26) 
