Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.6%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
