Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 (12.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.