Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Girona had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.