Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 2-1 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (13.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
