Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.45%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.34%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
