Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 34.84%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Huesca win was 1-0 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alaves in this match.