SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | UD Ibiza |
57.73% ( 0.19) | 25.39% ( -0.08) | 16.87% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 40.03% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.46% ( 0.14) | 60.53% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.35% ( 0.11) | 80.64% ( -0.11) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.13) | 21.07% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( 0.21) | 53.89% ( -0.21) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.72% ( -0.05) | 49.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.85% ( -0.03) | 84.15% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 16.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.72% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.41% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.87% |
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