SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Lugo |
70.6% ( 0.02) | 19.56% ( 0.08) | 9.84% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 37.72% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% ( -0.57) | 53.11% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% ( -0.49) | 74.68% ( 0.48) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( -0.17) | 13.9% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.68% ( -0.34) | 41.32% ( 0.34) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.81% ( -0.57) | 56.19% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.42% ( -0.33) | 88.58% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.41% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 10% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 70.59% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.56% | 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 9.84% |
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