SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Cartagena |
53.29% ( 1.48) | 26.6% ( -0.66) | 20.11% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 41.89% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.15% ( 1.34) | 60.84% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.12% ( 0.99) | 80.87% ( -1) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( 1.24) | 23.06% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.1% ( 1.79) | 56.9% ( -1.79) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.45% ( -0.12) | 45.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.63% ( -0.09) | 81.36% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 15.4% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.49% Total : 53.28% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.11% |
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