Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.72%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Burgos
57.21% ( 0.08)	26.32% ( -0.02)	16.47% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 37.3% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.2% (

-0.02)

63.8% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.96% (

-0.01)

83.04% (

0.01)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

0.03)

22.65% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

0.04)

56.29% (

-0.04)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.23% (

-0.09)

51.77% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.14% (

-0.06)

85.85% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Eibar 57.19%

Burgos 16.47%

Draw 26.31%

Eibar	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 17.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 57.19%	0-0 @ 11.72% 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 16.47%