SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 43.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Ibiza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Burgos |
43.98% ( -0.45) | 28.86% ( -0.21) | 27.15% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 42.79% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.81% ( 0.92) | 63.19% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.39% ( 0.66) | 82.6% ( -0.66) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( 0.21) | 28.66% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( 0.26) | 64.47% ( -0.26) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.98% ( 1.09) | 40.02% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.33% ( 0.99) | 76.67% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 14.33% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.15% |
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