SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 41.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 29.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
29.17% ( 1.27) | 29.81% ( 0.22) | 41.02% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 41.47% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.65% ( -0.25) | 65.35% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.87% ( -0.18) | 84.13% ( 0.18) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.45% ( 0.9) | 39.55% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.76% ( 0.83) | 76.24% ( -0.82) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% ( -0.98) | 31.4% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( -1.16) | 67.78% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.45% Total : 29.17% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 14.38% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.38)1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.06% Total : 41.02% |
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