SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Villarreal II |
41.79% ( -0.43) | 28.57% ( 0.37) | 29.64% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.7% ( -1.22) | 61.3% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.78% ( -0.92) | 81.22% ( 0.92) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.83) | 28.94% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( -1.03) | 64.83% ( 1.04) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.61) | 36.92% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( -0.62) | 73.71% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.58% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.64% |
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