Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
-0.43) 
0.37) 
