Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Girona had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.