Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
