Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Amorebieta | Draw | Leganes |
29.95% | 29.01% | 41.04% |
Both teams to score 43.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.35% | 62.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.79% | 82.21% |
Amorebieta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.58% | 37.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.79% | 74.2% |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.97% | 30.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% | 66.15% |
Score Analysis |
Amorebieta | Draw | Leganes |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.74% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-3 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 0.98% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.41% Total : 41.03% |
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