Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
