SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Girona |
| 26.88% | 26.08% | 47.03% |
| Both teams to score 50.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% | 53.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% | 75.14% |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.27% | 71.72% |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% | 22.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.68% 3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.88% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.03% |
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