Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.