SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Lugo |
| 46.74% | 28.1% | 25.16% |
| Both teams to score 43.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.21% | 61.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.42% | 81.58% |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% | 26.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.23% | 61.76% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.02% | 40.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.46% | 77.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 8.53% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.87% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.26% Total : 25.16% |
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