Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
0.03) 
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