Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 40.64%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.28%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
