SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | UD Ibiza |
47.26% ( -2.22) | 27.88% ( 0.67) | 24.86% ( 1.55) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.73% ( -1.15) | 61.27% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.8% ( -0.87) | 81.19% ( 0.87) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( -1.58) | 26.05% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( -2.18) | 61.1% ( 2.18) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.03% ( 0.81) | 40.96% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.47% ( 0.71) | 77.52% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.47)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.97% Total : 47.25% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 24.86% |
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