Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 36.65%. A draw had a probability of 32.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 30.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (6.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.51%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (13.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.14) 
