SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 36.65%. A draw had a probability of 32.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 30.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (6.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.51%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (13.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Leganes |
36.65% ( 0.04) | 32.8% ( 0.11) | 30.55% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 35.11% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.96% ( -0.26) | 73.04% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.88% ( -0.16) | 89.12% ( 0.16) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% ( -0.13) | 38.43% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.82% ( -0.12) | 75.18% ( 0.13) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% ( -0.27) | 42.98% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.73% ( -0.23) | 79.27% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 15.79% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.65% | 0-0 @ 16.51% ( 0.16) 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 32.79% | 0-1 @ 13.94% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.54% |
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