SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Cartagena |
40.66% ( 0.28) | 29.08% ( -0.08) | 30.26% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 43.71% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.2% ( 0.21) | 62.8% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.68% ( 0.15) | 82.32% ( -0.15) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( 0.27) | 30.32% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( 0.32) | 66.5% ( -0.31) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -0.04) | 37.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -0.04) | 74.05% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.37% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.08% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 30.25% |
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