Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.24%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (13.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Leganes
35.24% ( -0.54)	30.8% ( 0.27)	33.96% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 40.07% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.47% (

-0.79)

67.53% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.38% (

-0.53)

85.62% (

0.53)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75% (

-0.8)

36.25% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

-0.82)

73.03% (

0.82)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.85% (

-0.25)

37.14% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07% (

-0.25)

73.93% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Malaga 35.23%

Leganes 33.96%

Draw 30.8%

Malaga	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 35.23%	1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.8%	0-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.81% Total : 33.96%