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Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz

Tenerife
2 - 1
Burgos

Dauda (79'), Rubio (90+5')
Corredera (35'), Teto (50'), Sanz (58'), Ruiz (68'), Nacho (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campos (40')
Matos (90+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Tenerife and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Andorra 1-0 Tenerife
Sunday, May 14 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-3 Leganes
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.06%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
TenerifeDrawBurgos
56.88% (0.532 0.53) 26.6% (-0.291 -0.29) 16.52% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 36.77% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.44% (0.55399999999999 0.55)64.56% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.42% (0.389 0.39)83.58% (-0.387 -0.39)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (0.47200000000001 0.47)23.12% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (0.687 0.69)56.98% (-0.686 -0.69)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.83% (0.019000000000005 0.02)52.17% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.88% (0.012 0.01)86.12% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tenerife 56.87%
    Burgos 16.52%
    Draw 26.6%
TenerifeDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 17.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.93% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.088 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 56.87%
0-0 @ 12.06% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.74% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 16.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Andorra 1-0 Tenerife
Sunday, May 14 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 1-0 Levante
Saturday, May 6 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 1-0 Leganes
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 1-1 Tenerife
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 4-0 UD Ibiza
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-0 Tenerife
Friday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-3 Leganes
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Burgos
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Villarreal II
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 2-2 Ponferradina
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 9 at 1pm in Segunda Division


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