Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Elche had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.
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