Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.08) 
