Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Sporting Gijon | 41 | -4 | 46 |
18 | Malaga | 41 | -20 | 45 |
19 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | -18 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Real Zaragoza | 41 | -7 | 55 |
11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Leganes | 41 | -1 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Malaga | Draw | Burgos |
44.35% ( 0.07) | 27.91% | 27.74% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 45.63% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.2% ( -0.03) | 59.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.91% ( -0.02) | 80.09% ( 0.02) |
Malaga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( 0.02) | 26.85% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% ( 0.03) | 62.15% ( -0.03) |
Burgos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.38% ( -0.07) | 37.62% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.6% ( -0.07) | 74.4% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Malaga | Draw | Burgos |
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 27.75% |
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