Gijon have certainly performed impressively in recent weeks to climb away from the threat of relegation, but they face an in-form Las Palmas side desperate for three points to book a playoff place, and we see the visitors prevailing as a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Las Palmas.
0.46) 
-0.09) 
