Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
