Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.