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Segunda Division | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2021 at 3pm UK
El Molinon

Sporting Gijon
2 - 1
Malaga

Durdevic (59'), Campos (80')
Durdevic (23'), Gragera (51'), Garcia Carrasco (61'), Campos (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Juande (26')
Munoz (22'), Brandon (23'), Juande (37'), Jozabed (44'), de la Fuente (61'), Gassama (90')
Escassi (7')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawMalaga
51.9%29%19.1%
Both teams to score 35.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.44%68.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.7%86.3%
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35%62.65%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.64%51.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.42%85.58%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 51.9%
    Malaga 19.1%
    Draw 28.99%
Sporting GijonDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 18.19%
2-0 @ 11.83%
2-1 @ 7.89%
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 3.42%
4-0 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.14%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 51.9%
0-0 @ 13.98%
1-1 @ 12.12%
2-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 4.04%
0-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 19.1%

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