Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.18%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 29.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.