SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.03%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (13.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
33.86% ( -0.07) | 30.45% ( -0.33) | 35.68% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 40.94% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.49% ( 0.98) | 66.51% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.07% ( 0.66) | 84.93% ( -0.66) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( 0.5) | 36.64% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( 0.49) | 73.43% ( -0.5) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( 0.82) | 35.38% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( 0.84) | 72.14% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.89% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.44% | 0-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.11% Total : 35.68% |
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