SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Ponferradina |
57.67% ( -0.7) | 24.73% ( 0.22) | 17.6% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 42.89% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.58% ( -0.12) | 57.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.77% ( -0.09) | 78.23% ( 0.09) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( -0.32) | 19.86% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( -0.52) | 51.96% ( 0.51) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.52% ( 0.55) | 46.47% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.91% ( 0.42) | 82.08% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 14.91% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 57.65% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.42% Total : 17.6% |
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