Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
