SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Eibar |
30.41% ( 0.51) | 29.41% ( 0.36) | 40.17% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 42.91% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.18% ( -0.99) | 63.81% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.95% ( -0.71) | 83.05% ( 0.71) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% ( -0.15) | 37.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.51% ( -0.15) | 74.49% ( 0.14) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( -1) | 31.12% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( -1.19) | 67.45% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 13.69% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.15)1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.16% |
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