Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.