Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
