SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.91%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Mirandes |
51.86% ( -0.77) | 28.38% ( 0.43) | 19.76% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 37.44% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.6% ( -0.89) | 66.4% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.14% ( -0.62) | 84.85% ( 0.61) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.78) | 26.21% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -1.06) | 61.31% ( 1.05) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.74% ( -0.14) | 49.26% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.86% ( -0.1) | 84.14% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 17.28% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.73% Total : 51.85% | 0-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.42) 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.33% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.76% |
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