Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.91%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.