Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Huesca | Draw | Ponferradina |
46.91% ( -0.43) | 28.47% ( 0.08) | 24.61% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 42% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.74% ( -0.03) | 63.26% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.34% ( -0.02) | 82.65% ( 0.02) |
Huesca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% ( -0.23) | 27.16% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.44% ( -0.3) | 62.56% ( 0.3) |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.66% ( 0.32) | 42.33% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.27% ( 0.27) | 78.72% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Huesca | Draw | Ponferradina |
1-0 @ 14.98% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 24.62% |
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