Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Rozada (49'),
Vallejo (59' pen., 64')
Calvo (9'), Bretones (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Ponferradina.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.16%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Ponferradina |
42.16% ( 0) | 30.16% | 27.68% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.97% ( 0) |
| 33.17% ( 0) | 66.83% ( -0) |
| 14.85% | 85.15% ( -0) |
| 68.5% ( 0) | 31.5% ( -0) |
