Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.16%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Ponferradina
42.16% ( 0)	30.16%	27.68% ( -0)

Both teams to score 39.97% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.17% (

66.83% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.85%

85.15% (

-0)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5% (

31.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

67.89% (

-0.01)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.35% (

-0)

41.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87% (

-0)

78.13% (

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 42.15%

Ponferradina 27.68%

Draw 30.15%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Ponferradina
1-0 @ 15.15% 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2% Total : 42.15%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 13.12% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.15%	0-1 @ 11.49% 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.2% Total : 27.68%