Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ponferradina in this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Huesca
37.47% ( -0.09)	27.73% ( -0.01)	34.8% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 48.57% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.73% (

0.05)

57.27% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

0.04)

78.11% (

-0.05)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

-0.03)

29.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52% (

-0.03)

65.48% (

0.03)

Huesca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

0.09)

31.14% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53% (

0.11)

67.46% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 37.47%

Huesca 34.79%

Draw 27.73%

Ponferradina	Draw	Huesca
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.47%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 34.79%