Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ponferradina in this match.