SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Espanyol |
33.65% ( -0.9) | 27.21% ( 0.2) | 39.14% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.6% ( -0.9) | 55.4% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.4% ( -0.74) | 76.6% ( 0.75) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( -1.03) | 30.95% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( -1.23) | 67.24% ( 1.23) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( -0.02) | 27.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( -0.03) | 63.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.14% |
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