SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Racing de Santander |
40.6% ( -0.62) | 29.22% ( 0.16) | 30.18% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 43.33% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.37) | 63.25% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.35% ( -0.27) | 82.65% ( 0.27) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -0.54) | 30.58% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( -0.65) | 66.81% ( 0.65) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( 0.16) | 37.57% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% ( 0.15) | 74.35% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.33% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 30.18% |
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