Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.6%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 2-1 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.75%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Racing de Santander
39.6% ( -0.01)	30.8% ( 0)	29.6% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 39.25% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.9% (

-0.01)

68.1% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14% (

-0.01)

86% (

0.01)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.01)

33.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.01)

70.37% (

0.01)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.21% (

40.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.63% (

77.37% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Alaves 39.6%

Racing de Santander 29.6%

Draw 30.8%

Alaves	Draw	Racing de Santander
1-0 @ 14.95% 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.6%	0-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.4% 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.8%	0-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.3% Total : 29.6%