Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
1.24) 
-0.32) 
