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Segunda Division | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Ponferradina

Angel Guerrero (70')
Angel Pozo (42'), Montiel (88'), Saveljich (90+3')
Saveljich (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
de Souza (66' pen.)
Antonio Caro (38'), Doncel (82'), Moran (86')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawPonferradina
48.1%29%22.9%
Both teams to score 39.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.15%65.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.52%84.48%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2%27.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62%63.38%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48%45.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65%81.35%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 48.09%
    Ponferradina 22.9%
    Draw 28.99%
Rayo VallecanoDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 16.19%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.16%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 3.48%
4-0 @ 1.42%
3-2 @ 1.37%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 48.09%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 12.65%
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 22.9%

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